Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 3.870631 4.573537 5.331268 6.204660 7.179348 8.229472 9.442164
2025-12-07 2.841714 3.769240 4.850999 6.188624 7.780518 9.597032 11.808466
2025-12-14 1.993147 2.980278 4.226294 5.873834 7.952821 10.447368 13.622521
2025-12-21 1.420887 2.402065 3.741562 5.628251 8.138359 11.284900 15.443416
2025-12-28 1.171260 2.200760 3.701253 5.924049 9.004187 12.993504 18.412272
2026-01-04 1.007636 2.086477 3.753605 6.332890 10.030730 14.949526 21.779068
2026-01-11 0.862660 1.966560 3.771333 6.678863 10.978010 16.833886 25.122180
2026-01-18 0.691773 1.759200 3.616516 6.740785 11.511252 18.168293 27.774237
2026-01-25 0.519110 1.500095 3.331581 6.560804 11.662305 18.962494 29.706568
2026-02-01 0.391207 1.291032 3.093807 6.419750 11.844392 19.788296 31.690586
2026-02-08 0.293452 1.114370 2.881387 6.289159 12.018889 20.592781 33.652617
2026-02-15 0.223639 0.978952 2.722226 6.226807 12.285380 21.528986 35.816499
2026-02-22 0.193051 0.942193 2.762626 6.532769 13.178732 23.455543 39.500058
2026-03-01 0.148461 0.843586 2.654044 6.551986 13.596982 24.677324 42.195001
2026-03-08 0.097352 0.690440 2.390316 6.243562 13.436371 24.996155 43.562815
2026-03-15 0.063071 0.570395 2.174261 5.997807 13.358029 25.428149 45.099400
2026-03-22 0.054427 0.558495 2.230842 6.314437 14.288818 27.488310 49.143956
2026-03-29 0.049941 0.565420 2.338897 6.746887 15.445454 29.941171 53.838198
2026-04-05 0.044084 0.560679 2.413539 7.111734 16.492035 32.241251 58.343066
2026-04-12 0.032949 0.512440 2.354475 7.178009 16.989288 33.657613 61.513789
2026-04-19 0.020660 0.435520 2.190307 6.990258 16.997816 34.265081 63.437108
2026-04-26 0.012630 0.372911 2.051905 6.842885 17.068558 34.969882 65.519202
2026-05-03 0.007330 0.319164 1.925460 6.706238 17.146092 35.679496 67.613312